There are not many sources of historical country returns. You might use
Country ETFs, but usually they do not have a long history. Let’s compare the
historical country returns data from:
Load historical country returns from AQR data library
USA
CAN
AUS
AUT
BEL
CHE
DEU
DNK
ESP
FIN
FRA
GBR
HKG
IRL
ITA
JPN
NLD
NOR
NZL
SGP
SWE
PRT
GRC
ISR
1926 Jul 31
1981 Feb 28
1985 Nov 30
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1986 Jan 31
1988 Feb 29
1988 Sep 30
1994 Dec 31
Load historical country returns from Kenneth R. French - Data Library
US
Austrlia
Belgium
France
Germany
HongKong
Italy
Japan
Nethrlnd
Norway
Singapor
Spain
Sweden
Swtzrlnd
UK
Canada
Austria
Finland
NewZland
Denmark
Ireland
Malaysia
1926 Jul 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1975 Jan 01
1977 Jan 01
1987 Jan 01
1988 Jan 01
1988 Jan 01
1989 Jan 01
1991 Jan 01
1994 Jan 01
Examine historical country returns side by side
[1] “Greece” “Israel” “Portugal”
[1] “Malaysia”
I guess the point is:
to be aware of different index construction methods and
do not accept blindly that returns will be identical across different providers
In the end, if you making an allocation decisions based on historical returns,
it is best to test robustness of you strategy on different indexes.
Next let’s see how country ETFs, correspond to these historical country returns.
For your convenience, the 2016-03-26-Historical-Country-Returns post source code.