data environment contains split and dividend adjusted prices
data.price environment contains only split adjusted prices
mom60
mom120
Period
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Cagr
18.05
15.47
Sharpe
0.89
0.76
DVR
0.85
0.7
R2
0.95
0.92
Volatility
21.26
22.21
MaxDD
-33.49
-51.75
Exposure
94.36
94.36
Win.Percent
63.76
62.42
Avg.Trade
1.69
1.49
Profit.Factor
2.24
2
Num.Trades
149
149
models$mom60
weight
entry.date
exit.date
nhold
entry.price
exit.price
return
SPY
100
2013-06-28
2013-07-31
33
155.04
163.06
5.17
XLV
100
2013-07-31
2013-08-30
30
49.88
48.12
-3.53
XLV
100
2013-08-30
2013-09-30
31
48.12
49.66
3.20
FXI
100
2013-09-30
2013-10-31
31
35.92
36.40
1.34
EEM
100
2013-10-31
2013-11-29
29
41.16
41.05
-0.27
XLV
100
2013-11-29
2013-12-31
32
54.24
54.64
0.75
SPY
100
2013-12-31
2014-01-31
31
180.35
173.99
-3.53
XLV
100
2014-01-31
2014-02-28
28
55.16
58.59
6.22
IYR
100
2014-02-28
2014-03-31
31
65.72
65.81
0.14
IYR
100
2014-03-31
2014-04-30
30
65.81
67.81
3.04
EEM
100
2014-04-30
2014-05-30
30
40.42
41.62
2.97
EEM
100
2014-05-30
2014-06-30
31
41.62
42.62
2.40
IYR
100
2014-06-30
2014-07-31
31
70.41
70.33
-0.11
FXI
100
2014-07-31
2014-09-30
61
39.96
37.80
-5.41
UUP
100
2014-09-30
2014-10-31
31
22.87
23.09
0.96
XLV
100
2014-10-31
2014-11-28
28
67.02
69.35
3.48
XLV
100
2014-11-28
2014-12-31
33
69.35
68.38
-1.40
IYR
100
2014-12-31
2015-01-30
30
76.84
81.23
5.71
IYR
100
2015-01-30
2015-02-27
28
81.23
79.12
-2.60
FXI
100
2015-02-27
2015-03-30
31
43.76
44.74
2.24
Next let’s consider following 3 setups:
“Adjusted” - split and dividend adjusted price data.
The signals and P&L are derived only from the adjusted data time series.
“Actual” - using only split adjusted data, that has not been adjusted for dividends.
The signals and P&L are derived only from the only split adjusted data time series.
“Hybrid” - use “Actual” time series for signal generation and the “Adjusted” time series for the P&L calculation.
mom60Adjusted
mom60Actual
mom60Hybrid
Period
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Cagr
18.05
15.02
17.22
Sharpe
0.89
0.76
0.85
DVR
0.85
0.73
0.82
R2
0.95
0.96
0.96
Volatility
21.26
21.33
21.33
MaxDD
-33.49
-35.99
-33.74
Exposure
94.36
92.44
92.44
Win.Percent
63.76
62.33
63.01
Avg.Trade
1.69
1.49
1.67
Profit.Factor
2.24
1.98
2.15
Num.Trades
149
146
146
mom120Adjusted
mom120Actual
mom120Hybrid
Period
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Jan2002 - Mar2015
Cagr
15.47
13.61
15.66
Sharpe
0.76
0.69
0.77
DVR
0.7
0.64
0.73
R2
0.92
0.92
0.94
Volatility
22.21
22.08
22.07
MaxDD
-51.75
-49.93
-47.15
Exposure
94.36
92.47
92.47
Win.Percent
62.42
60.96
61.64
Avg.Trade
1.49
1.37
1.54
Profit.Factor
2
1.9
2.02
Num.Trades
149
146
146
In agreement with source
Adjusted and Hybrid outperform Actual.